How long will sub line be when it opens???

Let the Guessing begin...

My guess a 3 hour wait

- 04-05-2007, 01:59 AMCrazy LegsHow long will sub line be when it opens let the guessing begin
How long will sub line be when it opens???

Let the Guessing begin...

My guess a 3 hour wait - 04-05-2007, 02:03 AMGoofy DaddyRe: How long will sub line be when it opens let the guessing begin
Didn't another thread go through this? I can't recall.

I figure it will average 45 minutes to 1 hour for the first week or two...and will improve as the summer wanes. - 04-05-2007, 07:07 AMakfandisneyRe: How long will sub line be when it opens let the guessing begin
What was the longes time for Pirates of the Caribbeen when it reopen.

I would say the same for Sub.

2 1/2 hours - 04-05-2007, 07:08 AMThe Mad HatterRe: How long will sub line be when it opens let the guessing begin
I read that when Space Mountain opened that the line stretched all the way to Town Square, Indy was similar wasn't it? I can't imagine Nemo being any different.

- 04-05-2007, 07:09 AMflynnibusRe: How long will sub line be when it opens let the guessing begin
you think that short?? Waits for EXISTING rides can get that high at WDW :o

Soarin can be 90-120 quite commonly.. and space can be over an hour all the time in busy periods.

Quote:

What was the longes time for Pirates of the Caribbeen when it reopen

- 04-05-2007, 07:22 AMMalcon10tRe: How long will sub line be when it opens let the guessing begin
Having waited 3+ hours for Space Mountain when it first opened, I would guess Nemo to be 3-4 hours. How long? Figure it will wrap around and head to IASW thru the gardens by Matterhorn, and where the Christmas line for IASWH goes....

- 04-05-2007, 07:28 AMmini_imagineerRe: How long will sub line be when it opens let the guessing begin
2-3 hours probably.

- 04-05-2007, 07:32 AMJungle Book FeverRe: How long will sub line be when it opens let the guessing begin
3-4 hours

- 04-05-2007, 07:35 AMThe Mad HatterRe: How long will sub line be when it opens let the guessing begin
I think I'll sit down at the edge of the Tomorrowland Terrace closest to the line with a big cinnamon roll and blended mocha and just watch the line. By the time they get to that part of the line they should be hungry and tired....yeah, that's the ticket.

- 04-05-2007, 07:37 AMDarkbeerRe: How long will sub line be when it opens let the guessing begin
We have three main types of park visitors

Regular Visitors (now mostly AP holders)

The person who only visits rarely (mainly out of town tourists)

Cast Members.

Now, let's take care of the CM's first, hopefully most CM's will get a chance to ride while Disney tests the attraction, works on loading issues, etc., since DOSH regulations allow CM's to ride even if DOSH hasn't signed off on the ride. So hopefully we won't have many off-duty CM's standing in the lines. CM's are blocked out on July 4th, and then July 13th thru August 19th.

There is a big difference between Regular Visitors (AP holders) and the out of town guests, and that is the AP holder has for the most part pretty much experienced the entire park and all of its attractions (at least the ones they are interested in), while a visitor hasn't seen most of the park or hasn't seen it in years, so there is a desire to make sure and get to see a lot of things.

On the other hand, regular visitors will see the Sub Lagoon commercials (since most live in the SoCal area) and will make a special trip just to ride the Subs (and of course, check out other favorites).

So you have two groups of people, with two very different values in regards to the wait time.

The visitors will have a much shorter wait time maximum. If they see 2 hours, there is a much higher possibility that they will decide to go see and ride other things instead of waiting.

On the other hand, the folks who go to the park JUST to ride the subs (AP holders and CM's who didn't get to ride during the CM previews) will wait a much longer time, as that was the reason they showed up. At some point, even most AP holders won't be willing to wait, but I would say that 4 hours will be agreeable to many AP holders just to get a chance to see the ride.

Now, most AP holders are either SoCal or SoCal select AP holders, and they have limited dates to see Finding Nemo prior to being blocked out for the summer.

The regular SoCal AP is blocked out for about half of June, all of July and most of August.

So here are the dates that SoCal AP holders have a chance to ride, based on the ride opening June 11th.

Monday, June 11th

Tuesday, June 12th

Sunday, June 17th

Monday June 18th

Tuesday, June 19th

Sunday June 24th thru Friday, June 29th.

The next day that the SoCal AP's can enter without buying a blockout pass is Sunday August 19th.

And based on the long lines for the first few days that Pirates was open last June, the lines dropped in size on the first day the SoCal AP's were blocked out.

So, my educated guess, Wednesday June 13th lines will be shorter than the 11th or 12th, but I still see a long line on the 13th, but still noticeably shorter than a day that the SoCal's can attend. I think the 17th and the 24th will be the two days with the longest wait, due to the combination of a weekend and SoCal AP's can enter. - 04-05-2007, 07:38 AMDuffyRe: How long will sub line be when it opens let the guessing begin
my guess is WAY TOO LONG! :)

- 04-05-2007, 07:40 AMakfandisneyRe: How long will sub line be when it opens let the guessing begin
- 04-05-2007, 07:49 AMNikki MouseRe: How long will sub line be when it opens let the guessing begin
Reeeeeeeeeeeeeeaaaaaaaaaaaaalllllllllllllyyyyyyyyy y Llllllllllooooooooooonnnnnnnnnnnngggggggggg

- 04-05-2007, 08:00 AMcal4iriRe: How long will sub line be when it opens let the guessing begin
I also think 3-4.

- 04-05-2007, 08:06 AMTikiRoomLizRe: How long will sub line be when it opens let the guessing begin
My guess is that it will be long enough to discourage me from riding it for a year or so, but not long enough to discourage others ...