HIGH RISK of Severe Storms Today
TUESDAY MORNING UPDATE:
This will be a VERY active weather day for our region. A moist and unstable atmosphere will allow for the development of widely scattered supercell thunderstorms throughout the morning and into the early afternoon hours. Any storms that fire have the potential to produce damaging winds, hail, and isolated tornadoes. However, the main event arrives late this afternoon and this evening, as a fast-moving cold front sends an organized line of strong to severe thunderstorms our way. This is when we expect the most WIDEPSREAD threat for severe weather, with damaging straight-line winds a good possibility, along with hail and an isolated tornado. Stay tuned to WBKO for any watches or warnings that may be issued during the day.
Read the latest Public Severe Weather Outlook from the Storms Prediction Center...
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0357 AM CST TUE NOV 15 2005
VALID 150957Z - 151800Z
...OUTBREAK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE LOWER-MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...LOWER OH VALLEY LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS...AND A FEW STRONG/LONG-TRACK TORNADOES OVER PARTS OF THE LOWER-MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...LOWER OH VALLEY LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.
THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE
CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN ARKANSAS
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN ILLINOIS
WESTERN TO CENTRAL KENTUCKY
WESTERN TO MIDDLE TENNESSEE
SURROUNDING THE HIGH RISK AREA...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL ARKANSAS ACROSS PORTIONS OF MISSISSIPPI...NORTHWESTERN ALABAMA...MIDDLE TENNESSEE...CENTRAL-NORTHERN KENTUCKY...INDIANA...CENTRAL-EASTERN
ILLINOIS...AND SOUTHERN THROUGH EASTERN MISSOURI.
THIS MORNING...AN INITIAL BAND OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE MISSOURI OZARKS NORTHEASTWARD UP THE OHIO VALLEY SHOULD RETREAT TO THE NORTH IN TANDEM WITH A NEARBY WARM FRONT. THE WARM AND MOIST AIR MASS NOW SOUTH OF THAT ACTIVITY SHOULD SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE REST OF THE MODERATE AND HIGH RISK AREAS THROUGHOUT TODAY AND TONIGHT...BEFORE A STRONG COLD FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH THE AREA FROM THE WEST.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST BOTH ALONG AND EAST OF THAT COLD FRONT. THESE STORMS WILL MOVE RAPIDLY NORTHEASTWARD INTO RICH MOISTURE AND STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR...CAUSING NUMEROUS WIND DAMAGE EVENTS AS THEY ORGANIZE INTO ONE OR MORE LINES.
SOME OF THE MOST INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS -- EITHER IN THE MAIN LINE OR AHEAD OF IT -- WILL PRODUCE TORNADOES. A FEW TORNADOES COULD TRAVEL ON LONG TRACKS GIVEN THE FAST FORWARD SPEEDS EXPECTED. OCCASIONAL HAIL ALSO IS POSSIBLE.
THE BULK OF THE SEVERE WEATHER SHOULD CONSOLIDATE INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY REGION...MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.
DAMAGING WIND...TORNADOES AND HAIL WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE.
THIS IS POTENTIALLY A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE WEATHER SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS LATER TODAY.
Forecast updated at 3:20am CST,
Tuesday, November 15, 2005
and Im TERRIFIED right now...I was never scared of storms in cal but ever since a straight line wind came thru in 03 and nearly ripped the mobile home we were living in off of the ground (luckily it was tied down well) that was it for me..days like this I wish i never left orange county!!!