I found these two articles quite insteresting:
Is Blu-ray the new Laserdisc? : Christopher Null : Yahoo! Tech
Is Blu-ray the new Laserdisc?
Blu-ray is dead - heckuva job, Sony! | Storage Bits | ZDNet.comZDNet's Robin Harris is now taking the bold step of calling Blu-ray "dead" and "in a death spiral," saying that in 12 months the format "will be a videophile niche, not a mass market product." While it may be early in the game to make such a prediction, Harris has some good points in his screed. Among them: That after its gruesome, 18-month battle with HD DVD, no one has the energy to care about high-def players any more. Probably a bigger issue: That upscaled DVD players, which can be had for $50 or $60, look almost as good as content played on a Blu-ray player. Consumers just don't see the value proposition in upgrading their hardware, particularly given that players are still over $200. What's a little better picture worth? With Blu-ray pegged at a four percent market share, most people seem to be saying not that much.
Honestly, after getting our HDTV I was all set to make our next purchase a PS3. I kept telling myself it's for the Rock Band, etc, etc, etc. But it was for the Blu-Ray.
According to Digital Content Producer Blu-ray doesnít cut it for business:
Thatís why you donít see quirky indie flicks on Blu-ray. Small producers canít afford it - even though they shoot in HDV and HD.
- Recordable discs donít play reliably across the range of Blu-ray players - so you canít do low-volume runs yourself.
- Service bureau reproduction runs $20 per single layer disc in quantities of 300 or less.
- Hollywood style printed/replicated Blu-ray discs are considerably cheaper once you reach the thousand unit quantity: just $3.50 per disc.
- High-quality authoring programs like Sony Blu-print or Sonic Solutions Scenarist cost $40,000.
- The Advanced Access Content System - the already hacked DRM - has a one-time fee of $3000 plus a per project cost of almost $1600 plus $.04 per disk. And who defines ďproject?Ē
- Then the Blu-ray disc Association charges another $3000 annually to use their very exclusive - on 4% of all video disks! - logo.
But a funny thing happened. As we started watching standard DVD's on our HD-DVD player (that we got for $100 in the fire-sale when HD-DVD died) which up-converts our standard DVD's, we realized that we can't really tell the difference between the Standard DVD's we have (even ones that are old) and the HD-DVD's. Further emphasizing that fact was we do have a few movies on both Standard DVD and HD-DVD.
Ocean's 11 - The Standard DVD is at least 5 years old. I could tell absolutely no difference watching the same scene (the heist scene, when they are scaling down the elevator shaft, and blowing the doors). I couldn't tell the difference AT ALL.
Now, our TV is only 42" so I'm sure that has something to do with it. But most people who have an HDTV probably don't have one over 50" (the ones Blu Ray probably makes a difference on).
The other thing that changed my mind was the prices of Blu-Ray discs. They are totally crazy.
So what are your thoughts??? Is Blu-Ray dead? With upconverting DVD players so cheap now (You can get ones for $50 or $60 now) does this spell doom for Blu Ray if they don't lower prices on players and discs soon???