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  1. #1

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    Hurricane Ernesto

    5 Day Cone


    Look out Tampa, here he comes!


    WTNT35 KNHC 271159
    TCPAT5
    BULLETIN
    HURRICANE ERNESTO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 11A
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052006
    800 AM EDT SUN AUG 27 2006

    ...ERNESTO...NOW A HURRICANE...APPROACHING THE SOUTHWEST PENINSULA
    OF HAITI...HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING POSSIBLE OVER MUCH OF
    HISPANIOLA...

    A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF HAITI
    FROM THE HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER WESTWARD TO THE
    SOUTHWESTERN TIP OF HAITI. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE
    CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
    HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED
    TO COMPLETION.

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS RECOMMENDED FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE
    DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA TO THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC-HAITI
    BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
    CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE
    WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
    JAMAICA.

    A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF LAS
    TUNAS...GRANMA...HOLGUIN...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GUANTANAMO IN
    EASTERN CUBA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
    ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A
    HURRICANE WARNING IS RECOMMENDED FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF GRANMA
    AND SANTIAGO DE CUBA.

    A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA
    KEYS LATER TODAY.

    INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...CUBA...
    THE NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...THE FLORIDA KEYS...
    AND THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
    OF ERNESTO.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
    INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
    BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

    AT 800 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ERNESTO WAS
    LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.4 WEST OR ABOUT 115
    MILES...180 KM...SOUTHWEST OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI AND ABOUT
    210 MILES...340 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GUANTANAMO CUBA.

    ERNESTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...
    AND A NORTHWESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING
    THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF ERNESTO IS
    EXPECTED TO PASS VERY NEAR SOUTHWESTERN TIP OF HAITI THIS AFTERNOON
    OR EARLY EVENING ...AND BE NEAR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF CUBA
    MONDAY MORNING.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
    HOURS...AND ERNESTO COULD BECOME A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE BEFORE IT
    REACHES THE COAST OF CUBA.

    TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
    FROM THE CENTER.

    AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL
    PRESSURE OF 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

    TIDES OF UP TO 3 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ARE EXPECTED ON JAMAICA
    AND THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI AS THE CENTER OF ERNESTO
    APPROACHES.

    RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED AMOUNTS
    OF UP TO 20 INCHES...ARE EXPECTED OVER HAITI AND THE DOMINICAN
    REPUBLIC. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
    AND MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE
    ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES...ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS
    OF JAMAICA AND EASTERN CUBA.

    REPEATING THE 800 AM EDT POSITION...17.3 N...73.4 W. MOVEMENT
    TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75
    MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB.

    THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
    1100 AM EDT.

  2. #2

    • Disneyholic
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    Re: Hurricane Ernesto

    Hmm, looks like they are projecting a hit on central Florida but there's still a chance it will miss completely...

    http://image.weather.com/images/maps/pt_BR/tropical/strm5_strike_720x486.jpg


    But relax folks, the Imagineers design the possibility of hurricanes into most attractions.
    Hi I'm Jerren and I'm a Disneyholic...

  3. #3

    • Angel Fan MC Man
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    Re: Hurricane Ernesto

    Thoughts and prayers and best wishes to all concerned, with special prayers to those still recovering in the Gulf Coast region as well.

    --Barry
    God, grant me the serenity to accept the things I cannot change, the courage to change the things I can, and the wisdom to know the difference.

  4. #4

    • Waiting for my E-Ticket
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    Re: Hurricane Ernesto

    Right now my least concern is if Disney gets hit... I'm worried about my own azz here in Clearwater!

  5. #5

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    Re: Hurricane Ernesto

    Quote Originally Posted by aimster View Post
    Right now my least concern is if Disney gets hit... I'm worried about my own azz here in Clearwater!
    Macarena will protect you!!!
    As nice as the other parks are, we must always remember that it all began at Disneyland. Disneyland should be the crown jewel in the Disney crown.

  6. #6

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    Re: Hurricane Ernesto

    Yeah, I found out about the hurricane, too. Wish, I wasn't in Florida, now... Oh well It may miss us.............. Hopefully.
    >Siggie Made By Moi<

  7. #7

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    Re: Hurricane Ernesto

    Plz don't let Dominican Republic die! No please!

    SnapplePlucked


  8. #8

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    Re: Hurricane Ernesto

    Quote Originally Posted by EpTxGuy View Post
    Macarena will protect you!!!
    yeah, lean on the chicken




    Seiously, I am sending prayers your aimster

  9. #9

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    Re: Hurricane Ernesto

    All CMs will be notified today and alerted to ride-out positions pending the updated track later today. The current track does indeed hit WDW, and there is no way at this point that WDW will not feel anything from this system.

    The Hurricane Cancellation policy is supposed to go into effect later today.

  10. #10

    • Angel Fan MC Man
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    Re: Hurricane Ernesto

    Quote Originally Posted by SnapplePlucked View Post
    Plz don't let Dominican Republic die! No please!

    SnapplePlucked
    I've never been there, but I know a lot of great baseball players come from there. As a baseball fan, and because I am a fellow member of the human race, I say prayers for your part of the world as well.

    --Barry
    God, grant me the serenity to accept the things I cannot change, the courage to change the things I can, and the wisdom to know the difference.

  11. #11

    • Waiting for my E-Ticket
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    Re: Hurricane Ernesto

    Quote Originally Posted by EpTxGuy View Post
    Macarena will protect you!!!
    Does doing the Macarena with Macarena improve my chances?

    Quote Originally Posted by hakuna makarla View Post
    yeah, lean on the chicken
    And now I have "Lean On Me" stuck in my head. *SNORT*

  12. #12

    • Disneyholic
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    Re: Hurricane Ernesto

    Quote Originally Posted by aimster View Post
    Does doing the Macarena with Macarena improve my chances?
    With the hurricane maybee with the ladies probaly not...
    Hi I'm Jerren and I'm a Disneyholic...

  13. #13

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    Re: Hurricane Ernesto

    oh, I am praying constantly....

    1.that the hurricane will bypass my Gulf Coast and
    2.that our vacation will still go along as planned.
    3.that God will protect everyone in the storm's path.




  14. #14

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    Re: Hurricane Ernesto

    Oh fun.

  15. #15

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    Re: Hurricane Ernesto

    if it hits.. oh well...

    good thing my college stated.. and half of one of my campuses is under construction... lol

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